Tag: world weather

NEW 180 DAY LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK: Friday June 2, 2016

NEW 180 DAY LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK:

THROUGH JUNE 20 (FULL MOON): With El Nino’s demise, the tropical storm and hurricane season may be getting off to a fast start. The second named storm, Bonnie, formed last weekend and bring thunderstorms and heavy rain to the southeastern U.S. coastline. We see an above normal 15 to 18 named storms for the 2016 tropical storm and hurricane season.

Next week, a new tropical storm developing in the Gulf of Mexico may hit Florida early next week, which would be the third named storm in a season that normally begins on June 1.

In what has been an endless round of thunderstorm activity across the flood-weary state of Texas. A slow-moving storm will bring more heavy rain and thunderstorms to Oklahoma as well as much of Texas into Saturday.

Flash flooding is very possible as several inches of rain could fall in a short period of time. By early next week, drier conditions are finally expected to move over this area.

The next storm system in the central U.S. will intensify across the Upper Midwest and Corn Belt states this weekend producing more showers and thunderstorms.

The hot weather through the weekend will be in the Far West. Temperatures are expected to be at least 20 degrees above normal from the Pacific Northwest southward into the Desert Southwest.

This is the same ridge of high pressure that we’re forecasting to move eastward into the central U.S. in mid June. It’s already been very dry in parts of Indiana and northwestern Illinois where a few stations have barely seen over a half-inch of rain for May. We could see a situation where the mud will soon turn to bricks, especially in the flooded areas in the central portions of the country in a matter of weeks.

JUNE 20 (FULL MOON) – AUGUST 2 (NEW MOON): With El Nino gone, this mid summer cycle is expected to be both HOT and DRY to east of the Mississippi River. The East Coast will be wetter and a bit cooler than usual. The western areas should have near to above normal precipitation overall with occasionally hot temperatures. However, readings will not be as torrid as the summer of 2015 across the Northwest.

AUGUST 2 (NEW MOON) – SEPTEMBER 16 (FULL MOON): With an expected La Nada or early La Nina pattern in the south-central Pacific Ocean, this late-summer six week cycle should be drier than usual from California eastward to the Appalachian Mountains. Pod-filling soybeans in the Midwest should suffer damage from extreme drought and heat. Hurricanes should stay along the East Coast and should be higher in number when compared to the 2015 season.

SEPTEMBER 16 (FULL MOON): – OCTOBER 30 (NEW MOON): It will be quite chilly this early to mid autumn with early freezes near the Great Lakes. The rest of the U.S. will see normal to drier than normal weather under high pressure. Hurricanes will threaten the southeastern U.S. as El Nino should no longer influence weather patterns.

OCTOBER 30 (NEW MOON) – DECEMBER 14 (FULL MOON): This late fall six-week cycle will likely be wetter and snowier than usual across the Pacific Northwest and the northern portions of the country near the Canadian border. The rest of the nation should be cool, windy and drier than normal.

SOUTH AMERICA’S WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH JUNE 13TH

It’s still too dry across northern and central Brazil and much of Paraguay. The double-cropped corn has been hurt by drought and heat during pollination. Much of southern Brazil, Uruguay and Argentina are expected to be drier in the next 10 days finally allowing soybean harvesting, but there still will be scattered showers.

In central Brazil, the rainy season has ended early. The double crop corn has been seriously hurt by drought and heat during pollination. Crop losses are now predicted to be as high as 40 percent, which is vital for cattle feeding operations. Cane sugar has likewise suffered from drought.

AUSTRALIA’S WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH JUNE 13TH

The weather patterns across Australia continue to reflect the death of the recent El Nino, especially in the western and southern portions of the continent. However, scattered showers in eastern Australia have improved crop prospects and should persist through the month of June.

Recent rainfall has helped against the hot temperatures in southern Queensland and northern New South Wales. The hot weather has accelerated cotton and sorghum development.

CANADA’S WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH JUNE 13TH

It’s been cooler and wetter across the Prairie Provinces in the past week or so, but drier and warmer weather conditions will return this next week.

9 May 2016 Monday

This 2nd week of May (9-15th) looks to be another challenging week for both retailers and farmers. We’ll take a tour around the world but first the U.S.

U.S. overall will have near average temperatures but the cool spots will be from Montana to Virginia while the West and Deep South trend above average. We could even have some very late frost in parts of the Upper Midwest and as far South as Central Iowa and Northern Illinois this week into the weekend. Rainfall will be the driest in 3 years for the U.S. overall and 11% below average – a plus for outdoor activities and store traffic. The U.S. Corn Belt will trend the coolest in 6 years with rainfall 35% above average but drying out for the latter half of the week with the 13th-19th period pretty good (dry) for any farm planting/spraying.

Down in Brazil the heat and dry has returned to Mato Grosso (#1 Corn growing area in Brazil) where it will be the #1 hottest in 25+ years and driest in 9 years. Not good for a crop already damaged with the excessive heat/drought in April. Parana was also hit hard in April with heat and now add the #1 wettest 2nd week of May in over 25 years and 537% above average rainfall – not good!

Argentina is in Fall and their Soy Bean harvest continues with challenging weather with the coldest conditions in 15 years and 51% above average rainfall for the Soy Bean growing regions.

Europe is also on the cool side with heavy rainfall trending the #1 wettest in 25+ years for Europe overall with 78% above average rainfall. Ukraine is the biggest Corn growing region in Europe and they’re trending very wet with 175% above average rainfall, most in over 25 years but at least the warmest in 3 years.

The #1 Corn growing region in China is Heilongjiang Province where it will be the 2nd wettest in 25 years, 188% above average and hottest in 12 years while they start planting.

Finally, not much good news for the Fort McMurray wild fire. If fire fighters don’t get it under control in the next day or so while humidity is higher and some spotty light rain they’ll be facing more very low humidity levels, low soil moisture levels for the next 9 days!

Click Here for  an animation of the weather conditions around Alberta.