Tag: hurricane season

NEW 180 DAY LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK:

NEW 180 DAY LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK:

THROUGH JUNE 20 (FULL MOON): With El Nino’s demise, the tropical storm and hurricane season may be getting off to a fast start as we’ve now seen 3 named storms. We see an above normal 16 to 20 named storms for the 2016 tropical storm and hurricane season which officially began on June 1.

In the meantime, strong thunderstorm activity is forecast to move into the Northeast and parts of the Mid-Atlantic states this weekend.

The next storm system is expected develop across the northern and central Great Plains early next week bringing showers and thunderstorms. The storm should move into the Corn Belt by next Tuesday or Wednesday. This is a break from the heat and drought pattern that is expected to redevelop across the central U.S. as drier and hotter weather is showing up on the long-range computer models beginning around the end of next week. The southern Great Plains, including the flooded areas of Texas look drier than normal for at least the next 10 days.

Elsewhere, there will be occasional showers and a few thunderstorms over the in the Northwest with dry and very warm weather in California. The situation in the southern part of the Golden State is extreme as Lake Mead is at the lowest level in history and no rain is in sight.

The Southeast should be mostly dry into next week, but there may be more showers and thunderstorms across Florida, especially the central portion of the state. Toward the “full moon” cycle around June 20, the Southeast should start to see an increase of showers and thunderstorms. JUNE 20 (FULL MOON) – AUGUST 2 (NEW MOON): With El Nino gone, this mid summer cycle is expected to be both HOT and DRY to east of the Mississippi River. The East Coast will be wetter and a bit cooler than usual. The western areas should have near to above normal precipitation overall with occasionally hot temperatures. However, readings will not be as torrid as the summer of 2015 across the Northwest.

AUGUST 2 (NEW MOON) – SEPTEMBER 16 (FULL MOON): With an expected La Nada or early La Nina pattern in the south-central Pacific Ocean, this late-summer six week cycle should be drier than usual from California eastward to the Appalachian Mountains. Pod-filling soybeans in the Midwest should suffer damage from extreme drought and heat. Hurricanes should stay along the East Coast and should be higher in number when compared to the 2015 season.

SEPTEMBER 16 (FULL MOON): – OCTOBER 30 (NEW MOON): It will be quite chilly this early to mid autumn with early freezes near the Great Lakes. The rest of the U.S. will see normal to drier than normal weather under high pressure. Hurricanes will threaten the southeastern U.S. as El Nino should no longer influence weather patterns.

OCTOBER 30 (NEW MOON) – DECEMBER 14 (FULL MOON): This late fall six-week cycle will likely be wetter and snowier than usual across the Pacific Northwest and the northern portions of the country near the Canadian border. The rest of the nation should be cool, windy and drier than normal.

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Potential Hurricane August 24-28, 2016

A series of celestial events taking place between the 24th and 28th of August, 2016 promise the potential for severe weather that may be tropical in nature. Key astronomical charts used in long-range weather forecasting place the planetary alignments involving Mars, Saturn, Neptune, Venus, and Jupiter over hurricane-prone sectors of the US East Coast.

The Mars-Saturn conjunction of August 24th begins the parade of celestial harbingers. As seen from the astro-locality map below, their area of influence, represented by the yellow lines, takes in the North Carolina and Virginia coasts and into the Northeast. More importantly, the crossing of these lines with the black line representing the influence of Neptune focuses their energies about 250 miles off the coast of central Florida.

The Mars-Saturn conjunction of August 24th, 2016

The alignments of Mars, Saturn, and Neptune have been observed to correspond with atmospheric turbulence, destructive, windy storms, and low pressure systems fed by tropical moisture, which can be of greater significance when occurring during hurricane season.

The second astro-locality map shows the positions of the Venus-Jupiter conjunction of August 27th represented by the blue lines over the New England area. These lines also converge with the Mars and Saturn white lines south of New England. Lastly, the Neptune line, shown in yellow, affects the Florida Panhandle northward through the East Central US into the central Great Lakes region.

Venus-Jupiter conjunction of August 27th. 2016

August 24-28, 2016

Taken together, during the forecast period, the US East Central section is likely to experience a bout of strong storms that push through the area towards the East Coast. One likely scenario shows the development of a tropical system off the coast of Florida which would then travel in parallel to the coast with a strong chance of affecting the New England area. A second scenario calls for tropical moisture, that doesn’t develop into an organized tropical system, to be pulled northward over the Carolinas fueling storms that affect the Mid-Atlantic, Northeast, and New England areas.

June 13-21, 2016 Long-range Weather Forecast

June 2016 will provide an opportunity to confirm the pluvial nature the planet Neptune is said to exercise on weather patterns. The geographical areas that fall under the influence of Neptune in key weather charts have been observed to experience southerly, moist, air flows that increase humidity resulting in intense downpours and flooding potential.

On the 13th of June, Neptune will make its retrograde station which is a key event in triggering the above mentioned atmospheric conditions. The 17th of June features the square aspect between Saturn and Neptune which also excites deep low pressure systems that result in higher than average rainfall. Then, on the 20th of June, Mercury will oppose Saturn and square Neptune activating their influence once again. In a minute we’ll look at the areas that will be affected this year. But first, let’s see what happened to atmospheric conditions the last time Neptune made it retrograde station and the last time Saturn squared Neptune.

On June 12, 2015, Neptune made its retrograde station. In the key seasonal chart, Neptune’s influence affected the eastern Plains states roughly from Louisiana northward through Minnesota. As can be seen from the Accuweather map below this is the exact area that experienced widespread localized flooding from June 13-15, 2016. This was in part due the Tropical Storm Bill that hit Texas at that time and continued northward.

June 13-15, 2016 - Tropical Storm Bill hit Texas &  Continued northward

The last Saturn-Neptune square occurred on November 26, 2015. Neptune’s influence affected the Mississippi Valley and eastward while Saturn’s influence affected the Eastern Seaboard. The National Weather Service forecast for Nov 27-29, 2015 warned, “Flash flooding possible across portions of the southern plains and mid-Mississippi valley.” Their forecast for Nov 29th stated, “Scattered to numerous rain showers is forecast northeast Texas to central Virginia where 3-day totals of 1 to 5 inches will be possible. Locally higher amounts may be observed in eastern Tennessee and western North Carolina.”

Forecast

This year Neptune will occupy the 82nd line of west longitude running from Florida through Ohio. This area will likely be subjected to heavy rainfall that produces widespread flooding as we’ve seen in last year’s example. Since we’re in hurricane season, we can rule out a tropical system at this time. The weather pattern will then travel eastward and affect the US East Coast.

In other key charts, the US West Coast is also affected by Neptune and Saturn. June is not as rainy as other months out west but we may see some anomalous weather pattern develop over the Pacific Northwest especially around the end of the forecast period (19th – 21st). This may be something like a dramatic increase in temperatures and humidity or an anomalous low pressure system.