NEW 180 DAY LONG RANGE WEATHER OUTLOOK:
THROUGH JUNE 20 (FULL MOON): With El Nino’s demise, the tropical storm and hurricane season may be getting off to a fast start. The second named storm, Bonnie, formed last weekend and bring thunderstorms and heavy rain to the southeastern U.S. coastline. We see an above normal 15 to 18 named storms for the 2016 tropical storm and hurricane season.
Next week, a new tropical storm developing in the Gulf of Mexico may hit Florida early next week, which would be the third named storm in a season that normally begins on June 1.
In what has been an endless round of thunderstorm activity across the flood-weary state of Texas. A slow-moving storm will bring more heavy rain and thunderstorms to Oklahoma as well as much of Texas into Saturday.
Flash flooding is very possible as several inches of rain could fall in a short period of time. By early next week, drier conditions are finally expected to move over this area.
The next storm system in the central U.S. will intensify across the Upper Midwest and Corn Belt states this weekend producing more showers and thunderstorms.
The hot weather through the weekend will be in the Far West. Temperatures are expected to be at least 20 degrees above normal from the Pacific Northwest southward into the Desert Southwest.
This is the same ridge of high pressure that we’re forecasting to move eastward into the central U.S. in mid June. It’s already been very dry in parts of Indiana and northwestern Illinois where a few stations have barely seen over a half-inch of rain for May. We could see a situation where the mud will soon turn to bricks, especially in the flooded areas in the central portions of the country in a matter of weeks.
JUNE 20 (FULL MOON) – AUGUST 2 (NEW MOON): With El Nino gone, this mid summer cycle is expected to be both HOT and DRY to east of the Mississippi River. The East Coast will be wetter and a bit cooler than usual. The western areas should have near to above normal precipitation overall with occasionally hot temperatures. However, readings will not be as torrid as the summer of 2015 across the Northwest.
AUGUST 2 (NEW MOON) – SEPTEMBER 16 (FULL MOON): With an expected La Nada or early La Nina pattern in the south-central Pacific Ocean, this late-summer six week cycle should be drier than usual from California eastward to the Appalachian Mountains. Pod-filling soybeans in the Midwest should suffer damage from extreme drought and heat. Hurricanes should stay along the East Coast and should be higher in number when compared to the 2015 season.
SEPTEMBER 16 (FULL MOON): – OCTOBER 30 (NEW MOON): It will be quite chilly this early to mid autumn with early freezes near the Great Lakes. The rest of the U.S. will see normal to drier than normal weather under high pressure. Hurricanes will threaten the southeastern U.S. as El Nino should no longer influence weather patterns.
OCTOBER 30 (NEW MOON) – DECEMBER 14 (FULL MOON): This late fall six-week cycle will likely be wetter and snowier than usual across the Pacific Northwest and the northern portions of the country near the Canadian border. The rest of the nation should be cool, windy and drier than normal.
SOUTH AMERICA’S WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH JUNE 13TH
It’s still too dry across northern and central Brazil and much of Paraguay. The double-cropped corn has been hurt by drought and heat during pollination. Much of southern Brazil, Uruguay and Argentina are expected to be drier in the next 10 days finally allowing soybean harvesting, but there still will be scattered showers.
In central Brazil, the rainy season has ended early. The double crop corn has been seriously hurt by drought and heat during pollination. Crop losses are now predicted to be as high as 40 percent, which is vital for cattle feeding operations. Cane sugar has likewise suffered from drought.
AUSTRALIA’S WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH JUNE 13TH
The weather patterns across Australia continue to reflect the death of the recent El Nino, especially in the western and southern portions of the continent. However, scattered showers in eastern Australia have improved crop prospects and should persist through the month of June.
Recent rainfall has helped against the hot temperatures in southern Queensland and northern New South Wales. The hot weather has accelerated cotton and sorghum development.
CANADA’S WEATHER OUTLOOKS THROUGH JUNE 13TH
It’s been cooler and wetter across the Prairie Provinces in the past week or so, but drier and warmer weather conditions will return this next week.