Welcome to November!
THIS WEEK (2-8 Nov): We’re off to a record warm start to the month with the week overall trending the warmest in 25+ years and wettest in 9 years for the U.S. as a whole (national temps trending +6.8F above normal). The really hot spots are from Minnesota to Louisiana and points North and East where temperature are trending +10F to +15F above normal. The cool spots are from California to Montana where it’s -1F to -5F below normal. Eureka!!! It’s raining in north central California with 1.0″ to 1.5″ of rain early this week from San Francisco CA to Reno NV. This is also bringing heavy snow to the Sierras where 8-12″+ is likely. Snow is also likely in the mountains of Idaho, Western Wyoming, Montana and Colorado. Further East it will be very soggy in rain soaked areas from San Antonio Texas to Raleigh, NC with 1.5″-3.0″ of rain this week. The windy spot will be the Central U.S. midweek. The best weather in the country is probably from Wash DC to Boston where temperatures are much above normal, dry and not much wind…enjoy it while it lasts.
NEXT WEEK (9-15 Nov): Another mild week trending the warmest in 6 years with national temps +2.8F above normal and the wettest in 6 years but still below average national rainfall. It remains mild, but not quite as extreme as this week with +3F to +10F warm anomalies from the Pacific Northwest through the Northern half of the U.S. The cool spots are limited from Arizona to Western Colorado and the Southeast. Heavy snow is again likely in the Mountains of the Northwest and Northern Rocky Mountains at high elevations.
Overall November is coming in like a cute puppy compared to last year’s epic cold and snow. The first 15 days for the U.S. trend the warmest in 25+ years, very likely 120 years compared to last year that trended the coldest in 19 years and snowiest in 14 years.
The biggest weather event globally is Major Cyclone Chapala likely to make landfall around Bi’r Ali in Central Yemen today as a category 2 – strongest they’ve seen in decades. Winds are currently sustained at 121mph gusting to 150mph but those should weaken just a bit before landfall. Flooding rain and winds will be an event they rarely see in a life time.
United States Weather Outlook 